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Xi
Yeet
Yoxyz
Zcash
Fed Decision in June?
No change
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
25 bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50+ bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
25 bps increase
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50+ bps increase
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$95.6M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 16 8:00 PM ET
Germany
94%
Curaçao
2%
GER
GER
DRAW
KOR
KOR
$8.6M Vol.
·
Sports
·
1:00 PM ET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$8.7M Vol.
Monthly
Ends 8:00 PM ET
Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?
160-179
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
180-199
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
140-159
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
200-219
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
120-139
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
220-239
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
240-259
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
100-119
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
260-279
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
280-299
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
440-459
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
360-379
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
320-339
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
460-479
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
480-499
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
380-399
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
500+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
400-419
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
420-439
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
340-359
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
300-319
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$3.2M Vol.
Weekly
Ends Jun 16 12:00 PM ET
Bitcoin above ___ on June 14?
52,000
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
54,000
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
56,000
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
60,000
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
58,000
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
62,000
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
64,000
69%
Yes
69%
No
31%
66,000
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
68,000
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
72,000
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
70,000
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.3M Vol.
Daily
Ends 12:00 PM ET
What price will Bitcoin hit in June?
↑ 65,000
90%
Yes
90%
No
10%
↑ 67,500
56%
Yes
56%
No
44%
↑ 70,000
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
↓ 57,500
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
↓ 55,000
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
↑ 72,500
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
↓ 52,500
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
↑ 75,000
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
↑ 77,500
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
↓ 50,000
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
↓ 47,500
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
↑ 80,000
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
↑ 82,500
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
↑ 85,000
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
↑ 87,500
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
↑ 90,000
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
↑ 92,500
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
↑ 100,000
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$12.1M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 1 12:00 AM ET
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 31
72%
Yes
72%
No
28%
June 30
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
June 21
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
June 19
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
June 18
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
June 17
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
June 16
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
June 15
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
June 14
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$7.3M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 20 8:00 PM ET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$55.0M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
64%
chance
Yes
No
$9.1M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Which banks will fail by June 30?
BMO
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
US Bank
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Truist
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Scotiabank
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Lloyds
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
JPMorgan Chase
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Deutsche Bank
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Santander
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
BNP Paribas
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Bank of America
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Citigroup
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
KeyBank
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Morgan Stanley
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
UBS
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
HSBC
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
RBC
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
BNY
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Wells Fargo
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Goldman Sachs
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$534k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Pakistan
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
No Meeting by June 30
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
Switzerland
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Other - Europe
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Qatar
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
Austria
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Oman
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Turkey
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
USA
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Egypt
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Italy
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Other
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Iran
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Iraq
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Saudi Arabia
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
UAE
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Kazakhstan
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Russia
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$9.5M Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
73%
Yes
73%
No
27%
September 30, 2026
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
June 30, 2026
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$315k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jan 1 12:00 AM ET
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