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Politics

Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

47%

chance

NewMonthlyEnds Jul 14 8:00 PM ET

Trump approval rating on June 19?

Trump approval rating on June 19?

21%

8%

6%

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$263 Vol.WeeklyEnds Jun 19 3:59 PM ET

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 15 - 20)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 15 - 20)

71%

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$481 Vol.WeeklyEnds Jun 20 3:59 PM ET

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

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chance

NewWeeklyEnds Jun 19 3:59 PM ET

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (June 15)

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (June 15)

94%

93%

86%

80%

People 100+ times

77%

77%

75%

68%

68%

36%

35%

People 200+ times

31%

21%

12%

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Trump 10+ times

—

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$1k Vol.WeeklyEnds Jun 21 11:59 PM ET

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (June 17)

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (June 17)

Hundred / Thousand / Million 5+ times

86%

76%

75%

73%

68%

41%

35%

17%

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Trump 10+ times

—

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$408 Vol.WeeklyEnds Jun 17 11:59 PM ET

Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?

71%

27%

3%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

$244k Vol.DailyEnds Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

90%

81%

Mr. Speaker 20+ times

81%

Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times

76%

Russia / Ukraine

74%

72%

67%

Constituent / Constituency

62%

60%

57%

47%

43%

39%

Northern Ireland

35%

34%

Mr. Speaker 30+ times

33%

32%

30%

23%

22%

22%

14%

Crime / Criminal

—

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Record Investment

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$1k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 17 7:59 PM ET

Elon Musk # tweets in June 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets in June 2026?

14%

13%

12%

11%

8%

8%

6%

5%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

$21k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 30 11:59 PM ET

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

3%

chance

$37k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jul 31 3:59 PM ET

What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14)

What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14)

Barack Hussein Obama

100%

53%

53%

52%

52%

51%

51%

51%

Spencer / Pratt

50%

50%

50%

Sleepy Joe Biden

49%

41%

39%

28%

Crypto / Bitcoin

8%

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$3k Vol.WeeklyEnds 11:59 PM ET

NYC Mayor # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

58%

35%

4%

3%

3%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

$5k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 16 12:00 PM ET