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Politics

Politics

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

4%

chance

$2k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

2%

chance

$62k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 30 8:00 AM ET

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

28%

chance

$17k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

6%

chance

$600k Vol.MonthlyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

1%

chance

$55.1M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

63%

chance

$9.2M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

$435k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

9%

chance

$52k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

43%

38%

8%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

$4.7M Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

14%

chance

$59k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

13%

chance

$80k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

11%

chance

$51k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET