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8
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interest rates
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macro
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merger
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1
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1
Parlays
1
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1
pboc
1
PMI
1
RBA
1
RBNZ
1
rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
1
Russia
1
Services
1
ships
1
Strait of Hormuz
1
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1
transit
1
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1
UK
1
unemployment
1
USD
1
Economy
Economy
All
Economic Policy
Global Rates
Macro Indicators
Business
Fed Rates
GDP
Jerome Powell
Trump
Fed
CPI
Inflation
Big Tech
fomc
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Argentina
Canada
China
Europe
Fiscal
Growth
Iran
Mexico
South Korea
Taxes
Acquisitions
AI
Australia
bank
Banxico
BOI
BOK
BOR
Brazil
Colombia
Core CPI
Crypto Legal
DeepSeek
dollar
Elon Musk
England
Ethereum
Euro Area
European Central Bank
Exchange Rate
exhange rate
forex
FX
Germany
Goods
Gov Reserve
Hormuz
Interest Rate
interest rates
ISM
Israel
Japan
jobs
macro
Macro Single
merger
Middle East
New Zealand
NFP
nonfarm payroll
Oil
Parlays
PBC
pboc
PMI
RBA
RBNZ
rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
Russia
Services
ships
Strait of Hormuz
TMTG
transit
Treasuries
UK
unemployment
USD
Core CPI YoY - June 2026
2.7%
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
3.1%
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
≤2.4%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
≥3.3%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
2.6%
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
3.2%
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
2.5%
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
2.8%
—
Yes
—
No
—
3.0%
—
Yes
—
No
—
2.9%
—
Yes
—
No
—
$518 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 14 11:59 PM ET
June Inflation US - Monthly
≤0.1%
87%
Yes
87%
No
13%
0.2%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
≥0.9%
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
0.3%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
0.4%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
0.6%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
0.5%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
0.8%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
0.7%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$2k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 14 11:59 PM ET
June Inflation US - Annual
3.8%
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
3.9%
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
3.7%
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
4.0%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
4.1%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
4.3%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
4.2%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
≥4.7%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
≤3.6%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
4.5%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
4.4%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
4.6%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$129k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 14 11:59 PM ET
ISM Manufacturing PMI - June 2026
<48.0
44%
Yes
44%
No
56%
55.0–55.9
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
49.0–49.9
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
50.0–50.9
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
54.0–54.9
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
48.0–48.9
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
52.0–52.9
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
56.0+
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
53.0–53.9
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
51.0–51.9
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
$192 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 1 2:00 AM ET
How many jobs added in June?
100k – 150k
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
0 – 50k
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
<0
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
200k+
—
Yes
—
No
—
150k – 200k
—
Yes
—
No
—
50k – 100k
—
Yes
—
No
—
$132 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 2 11:59 PM ET
June Unemployment Rate
4.3%
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
4.4%
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
4.2%
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
4.0%
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
4.1%
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
4.5%
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
4.6%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
≥4.7%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
≤3.9%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$945 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 2 4:30 AM ET
People's Bank of China rate change in June?
No Change
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
Decrease
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Increase
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$883 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 11:59 AM ET
Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026
<-4%
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
-4%– -2%
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
-2%– 0%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
2%–4%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
0%–2%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
4%–6%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
8%+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
6%-8%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$45k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 25 2:00 AM ET
USD x Iranian rials End of June?
1.7-1.8M
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
1.5-1.6M
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
1.6-1.7M
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
1.9-2.0M
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
<1.5M
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
1.8-1.9M
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
2.0M+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$37k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?
0.1-0.3%
53%
Yes
53%
No
47%
0.4-0.6%
44%
Yes
44%
No
56%
0.7-0.9%
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
1.0-1.2%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
≤0.0%
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
1.3%+
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$623 Vol.
Annual
Ends Jul 30 2:00 AM ET
Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026
0.4-0.7%
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
0.8-1.1%
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
<0.0%
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
0.0-0.3%
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
1.2-1.5%
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
2.0%+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
1.6-1.9%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1k Vol.
Annual
Ends Jul 30 2:00 AM ET
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
<-0.5%
47%
Yes
47%
No
53%
1.0-1.5%
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
-0.5-0.0%
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
2.5%+
44%
Yes
44%
No
56%
1.5-2.0%
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
0.0-0.5%
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
2.0-2.5%
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
0.5-1.0%
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
$525 Vol.
Annual
Ends Jul 30 2:00 AM ET
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