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rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
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Economy
Economy
All
Economic Policy
Global Rates
Macro Indicators
Business
Fed Rates
GDP
Jerome Powell
Trump
Fed
CPI
Inflation
Big Tech
fomc
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Argentina
Canada
China
Europe
Fiscal
Growth
Iran
Mexico
South Korea
Taxes
Acquisitions
AI
Australia
bank
Banxico
BOI
BOK
BOR
Brazil
Colombia
Core CPI
Crypto Legal
DeepSeek
dollar
Elon Musk
England
Ethereum
Euro Area
European Central Bank
Exchange Rate
exhange rate
forex
FX
Germany
Goods
Gov Reserve
Hormuz
Interest Rate
interest rates
ISM
Israel
Japan
jobs
macro
Macro Single
merger
Middle East
New Zealand
NFP
nonfarm payroll
Oil
Parlays
PBC
pboc
PMI
RBA
RBNZ
rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
Russia
Services
ships
Strait of Hormuz
TMTG
transit
Treasuries
UK
unemployment
USD
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
1
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
2
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
3
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
4+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$33k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 16 8:00 PM ET
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Other
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Pause–Pause–Cut
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.1M Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 16 8:00 PM ET
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$4k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
43%
chance
Yes
No
$1.8M Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 8 7:00 PM ET
Fed Decision in June?
No change
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
25 bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50+ bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
25 bps increase
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50+ bps increase
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$96.0M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 16 8:00 PM ET
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
October Meeting
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
September Meeting
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
July Meeting
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
June Meeting
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.0M Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 16 8:00 PM ET
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$106k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
5.0%
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
5.5%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
5.2%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
5.7%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
6.0%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$131k Vol.
Weekly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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