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US x Cuba economic deal by...?
December 31
56%
Yes
56%
No
44%
July 31
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
June 30
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$161k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$53k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
800–900B
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
900B–1T
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
600–700B
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
700–800B
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
1T–1.1T
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
<500B
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
500–600B
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
1.1T+
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$21k Vol.
Daily
Ends Feb 27 7:00 PM ET
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
32%
chance
Yes
No
$2k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
40%
chance
Yes
No
$2k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Fed abolished before 2027?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$4k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$1k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$16k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$3k Vol.
Annual
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$17k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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