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Economy

Economy

US bank failure by June 30?

US bank failure by June 30?

44%

chance

$7k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

1%

chance

$1k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

3rd largest company end of June?

3rd largest company end of June?

69%

31%

2%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

$69k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

2nd largest company end of June?

2nd largest company end of June?

68%

28%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

$484k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

1%

chance

$111k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

8%

chance

$16k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Bank of America

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

$535k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

10%

chance

$106k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

39%

39%

39%

31%

24%

15%

8%

4%

$185k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

97%

2%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

$22.0M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET