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Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
15%
chance
Yes
No
$2k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
85%
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
90%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$85k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk
94%
Yes
94%
No
6%
Warren Buffett
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Jensen Huang
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Bernard Arnault
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Larry Page
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Jeff Bezos
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Steve Ballmer
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Sergey Brin
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Larry Ellison
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Mark Zuckerberg
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.8M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$24k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
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