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Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
September 30
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
August 31
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
July 31
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
$7k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Sep 29 8:00 PM ET
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
65%
Anthropic
Anthropic
OpenAI
$28k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jan 1 7:00 AM ET
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
73%
chance
Yes
No
$148k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$30k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
↑ $1.1T
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
↑ $1.25T
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
↓ $875B
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
↑ $1.5T
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
↓ $800B
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
↓ $850B
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
↓ $750B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
↑ $1.75T
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$289k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 1 8:00 AM ET
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
45%+
46%
Yes
46%
No
54%
50%+
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
55%+
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$219k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$21k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
600B+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
400–600B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
200–300B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<100B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100–200B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
300–400B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.7M Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
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