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Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
August 31
82%
Yes
82%
No
18%
July 31
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
June 30
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
$4k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Aug 30 8:00 PM ET
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?
63%
chance
Yes
No
$4k Vol.
Weekly
Ends Jun 17 8:00 PM ET
GPU rental prices (B200) end of June?
$5.00-$6.00
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
$4.00-$5.00
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
$6.00-$7.00
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
$7.00-$8.00
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$8.00+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
<$4.00
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$6k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
GPU rental prices (H200) end of June?
$3.00-$4.00
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
$5.00-$6.00
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
$4.00-$5.00
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
<$3.00
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$6.00-$7.00
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$7.00+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$13k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
GPU rental prices (H100) end of June?
$2.60-$2.90
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
$2.30-$2.60
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
$2.90-$3.20
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
$2.00-$2.30
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
<$2.00
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$3.20-$3.50
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$3.50+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$15k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
15%
chance
Yes
No
$2k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
425k–450k
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
450k–475k
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
475k+
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
400k–425k
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
375k–400k
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
350k–375k
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
325k–350k
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
300k–325k
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<300k
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$71k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
Aristotle
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
ForecastEx
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
Small Exchange
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
CBOE
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
The Clearing Company
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
ICE
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$75k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
85%
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
90%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$85k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
3rd largest company end of June?
Apple
69%
Yes
69%
No
31%
Alphabet
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
NVIDIA
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Microsoft
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Tesla
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Amazon
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Saudi Aramco
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Broadcom
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$69k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 12:00 PM ET
2nd largest company end of June?
Alphabet
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
Apple
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
NVIDIA
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Saudi Aramco
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Microsoft
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Broadcom
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Amazon
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Tesla
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$484k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 12:00 PM ET
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
750B–1T
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
1.25T–1.5T
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
1T–1.25T
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
500–750B
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
<500B
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$29k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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