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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
August 31
88%
Yes
88%
No
12%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
79%
Yes
79%
No
21%
Successful splash down?
74%
Yes
74%
No
26%
July 31
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
June 30
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$9k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
14+
70%
Yes
70%
No
30%
13
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
<11
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
12
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
11
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$15k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
800b+
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
720-740b
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
780-800b
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<660b
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
660-680b
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
760-780b
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
740-760b
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
680-700b
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
700-720b
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$48k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$4k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$1.0M Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
15%
chance
Yes
No
$8k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Another Elon baby by June 30?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$57k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
425k–450k
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
450k–475k
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
475k+
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
400k–425k
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
375k–400k
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
350k–375k
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
325k–350k
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
300k–325k
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<300k
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$71k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$853k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$108k Vol.
Annual
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
35%
chance
Yes
No
$112k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$16k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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