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US x China Military clash before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$126k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$321k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$11.1M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5%
53%
Yes
53%
No
47%
<-1.0%
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
0.6 – 1.0%
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
1.6 – 2.0%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
2.5%+
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
-0.9 – -0.5%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
0.1 – 0.5%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
2.0-2.4%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$44k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jan 9 7:00 PM ET
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
20%
chance
Yes
No
$492k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$1.9M Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
China coup attempt before 2027?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$139k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$1.8M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
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