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putin
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Taiwan
Trump Presidency
Abraham Accords
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Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$156k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$52k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
8
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
9
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
10
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
11
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
12
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
13
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
14
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
15+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$759k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$1.9M Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$207k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$57k Vol.
Annual
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$1.2M Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$113k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
84%
chance
Yes
No
$2.2M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
France
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Turkey
94%
Yes
94%
No
6%
United Kingdom
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
Germany
47%
Yes
47%
No
53%
South Korea
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Yes
37%
No
63%
Ireland
37%
Yes
37%
No
63%
Israel
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
Italy
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
Japan
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
India
29%
Yes
29%
No
71%
Canada
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
Pakistan
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
Russia
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
Syria
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
North Korea
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Ukraine
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
Oman
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
Mexico
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
Belarus
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Lebanon
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
Taiwan
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$301k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
NATO article 5 before 2027?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$91k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
28%
chance
Yes
No
$2.2M Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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