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Iran coup attempt by June 30?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$1.8M Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Greta Thunberg arrested by...?
December 31
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
June 30
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$71k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$600k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$55.1M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
63%
chance
Yes
No
$9.2M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$52k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
5
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
6
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
7
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
10
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
8
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
9
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
11
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
13
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
15+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
12
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
14
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$4.7M Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$59k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$80k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
Egypt
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
Jordan
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
Pakistan
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
Lebanon
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
Qatar
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
Kuwait
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Turkey
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
Azerbaijan
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
Saudi Arabia
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
Oman
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Syria
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$716k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$179k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$36.9M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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