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Geopolitics

Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

45%

chance

NewMonthlyEnds Jul 14 8:00 PM ET

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

6%

chance

$46k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

36%

chance

$291k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

53%

50%

35%

11%

5%

$50k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

89%

79%

70%

68%

63%

54%

37%

27%

6%

0%

$19.7M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

68%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

50%

Troop Withdrawal

36%

Enrichment of Uranium

9%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

7%

$1.8M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

No Meeting by June 30

35%

34%

14%

10%

3%

0%

0%

0%

Other - Middle East/North Africa

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

$9.5M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

74%

65%

32%

13%

11%

8%

7%

4%

1%

$7.4M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 20 8:00 PM ET

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

28%

chance

$17k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

38%

chance

$2.6M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

63%

chance

$9.2M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET