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Geopolitics

Geopolitics

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

No Meeting by June 30

35%

34%

14%

10%

3%

0%

0%

0%

Other - Middle East/North Africa

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

$9.5M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

9%

chance

$52k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

32%

27%

15%

12%

5%

3%

2%

1%

$759k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

10%

chance

$1.9M Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

8%

chance

$207k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

7%

chance

$126k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

2%

chance

$57k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

6%

chance

$1.2M Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

11%

chance

$51k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

14%

chance

$113k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

84%

chance

$2.2M Vol.MonthlyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

99%

94%

59%

47%

41%

37%

37%

31%

31%

30%

29%

27%

23%

17%

14%

14%

13%

13%

12%

10%

8%

3%

$301k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET