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Geopolitics
Geopolitics
All
Trump
Ukraine
Iran
Middle East
Israel
Russia
Foreign Policy
Strait of Hormuz
Iran Ceasefire
Nuclear
Oil
U.S. x Iran
Ukraine Map
Ukraine Peace Deal
China
NATO
putin
Hormuz
Negotiation Topics
North Korea
zelenskyy
Gaza
HFC
Israel x Iran
Lebanon
South Korea
Syria
Taiwan
Vance
Earn 4%
Khamenei
Military Strikes
Peace Deal
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Trump Presidency
Turkey
Abraham Accords
Argentina
Asia
Congress
crimea
Denmark
Diplomatic meeting
donestk
eu
Europe
Greenland
H-1B
Hegseth
Hezbollah
Immigration
India
India-Pakistan
Iran Regime
Kim Jong Un
Kushner
Maria Corina Machado
Maria Machado
Military Actions
Naval
nuclear deal
Pakistan
palestine
Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec
Reza Pahlavi
rubio
ships
somalia
Somaliland
tanker
Tariffs
Thailand-Cambodia
Trade War
transit
Trump Cabinet
Trump x al-Sharaa
Trump x Saudi
Trump-Machado
Trump-Netanyahu
Trump-Putin
United Kingdom
Uranium
US-Iran
Venezuela
Witkoff
xi jinping
Yemen
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?
50-74
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
25-49
—
Yes
—
No
—
<25
—
Yes
—
No
—
100+
—
Yes
—
No
—
75-99
—
Yes
—
No
—
$3 Vol.
Weekly
Ends Jun 21 3:59 PM ET
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
20+
64%
Yes
64%
No
36%
40+
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
60+
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
80+
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
$318k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 12:00 PM ET
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
0-10
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
20-40
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
40-60
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
60+
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
10-20
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
$59k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 12:00 PM ET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$8.7M Vol.
Monthly
Ends 8:00 PM ET
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Bahrain
37%
Yes
37%
No
63%
United States
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
UAE
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
Pakistan
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
India
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
Oman
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
France
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Germany
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
South Korea
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Qatar
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Saudi Arabia
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
United Kingdom
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
Italy
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Netherlands
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Greece
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Japan
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Australia
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Kuwait
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Canada
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$709k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$92k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
Oil Sanction Relief
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Troop Withdrawal
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
Enrichment of Uranium
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
$1.8M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
September 30
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
June 30
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
June 22
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
June 15
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.3M Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Crude Oil all time high by...?
December 31
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
September 30
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
June 30
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$529k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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