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Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec
1
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Geopolitics
Geopolitics
All
Trump
Ukraine
Iran
Middle East
Israel
Russia
Foreign Policy
Strait of Hormuz
Iran Ceasefire
Nuclear
Oil
U.S. x Iran
Ukraine Map
Ukraine Peace Deal
China
NATO
putin
Hormuz
Negotiation Topics
North Korea
zelenskyy
Gaza
HFC
Israel x Iran
Lebanon
South Korea
Syria
Taiwan
Vance
Earn 4%
Khamenei
Military Strikes
Peace Deal
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Trump Presidency
Turkey
Abraham Accords
Argentina
Asia
Congress
crimea
Denmark
Diplomatic meeting
donestk
eu
Europe
Greenland
H-1B
Hegseth
Hezbollah
Immigration
India
India-Pakistan
Iran Regime
Kim Jong Un
Kushner
Maria Corina Machado
Maria Machado
Military Actions
Naval
nuclear deal
Pakistan
palestine
Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec
Reza Pahlavi
rubio
ships
somalia
Somaliland
tanker
Tariffs
Thailand-Cambodia
Trade War
transit
Trump Cabinet
Trump x al-Sharaa
Trump x Saudi
Trump-Machado
Trump-Netanyahu
Trump-Putin
United Kingdom
Uranium
US-Iran
Venezuela
Witkoff
xi jinping
Yemen
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$83k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$46k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$2k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
28%
chance
Yes
No
$17k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$600k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$55.1M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
63%
chance
Yes
No
$9.2M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Lebanon
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Kuwait
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Tunisia
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Pakistan
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Bangladesh
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Iraq
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Syria
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Afghanistan
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Cuba
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Indonesia
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Qatar
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
North Korea
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Malaysia
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Venezuela
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$435k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$52k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
5
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
6
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
7
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
10
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
8
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
9
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
11
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
13
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
15+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
12
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
14
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$4.7M Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$59k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$80k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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